Divisional leaders get together on Tuesday night in Texas as the Rangers host the Minnesota Twins. It is the second game of a four-game series between the two teams. The Twins were excellent at home last week and they separated themselves a little bit from the Chicago White Sox in the American League Central. Now the Twins will get to see if they can maintain their lead as they play on the road.
SBG Global.com current line: Rangers – 135, Total 9 Under – 120
The pitching matchup on Tuesday is an interesting one. Carl Pavano gets the start for the Twins while Colby Lewis goes for the Rangers. Pavano is 15-8 on the season with a 3.52 ERA but he is coming off his worst out of the season as he gave up seven runs on 15 hits last time out against the White Sox. He has not pitched well in his career against the Rangers going 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA.
Colby Lewis is 9-10 on the season for the Rangers with a 3.37 ERA. It seems hard to believe that a pitcher with an ERA that low could have a losing record. Lewis has gone at least six innings for six straight starts. His ERA in his last three starts is 2.79 yet he is 0-2. He is 0-2 in his career against the Twins with a 4.40 ERA.
Looking at the MLB betting stats, the Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Twins are 17-5 in their last 22 vs. the American League West. The Twins are 27-11 in their last 38 Tuesday games. The Twins are 7-1 in Pavano’s last 8 road starts.
The Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rangers are 10-3 in their last 13 Tuesday games. The Rangers are 1-4 in Lewis’ last 5 home starts.
The Over is 5-1 in the Twins last 6 overall. The Over is 5-0 in Pavano’s last 5 Tuesday starts. The Under is 4-1 in Pavano’s last 5 starts vs. the American League West. The Over is 4-1 in the Rangers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 4-0 in Lewis’ last 4 home starts.