Saturday, 4:30 pm Eastern – ESPN
Fresno State is heavily favored in the college football betting New Mexico Bowl on Saturday against a Wyoming team that finished the season at 6-6. Fresno was 8-4 overall this season and features a powerful offense led by running back Ryan Mathews who led the nation in rushing at 151.3 yards per game. That does not bode well for Wyoming since they allowed more than 170 yards per game on the ground this season.
Fresno State is an 11.5 point favorite at SBG Global with a total of 55.
This game on ESPN could turn into a blowout if Wyoming is not able to slow down Fresno’s rushing attack. What also is a concern for Wyoming is their ability to move the ball. Their offense simply isn’t very good and the Cowboys are only in a bowl game because they played a weak schedule. The one thing that helps Wyoming is that they are happy to be in a bowl game since they have missed out the last four seasons.
Wyoming has not beaten a team with a winning record all college football betting season so they have a tough task in the New Mexico Bowl. In fact, they only scored one touchdown all season against a team that had a winning record.
What does help the Cowboys is that they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the WAC and they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Cowboys are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 non-conference games. The concern though, as previously mentioned is that they don’t beat winning teams. The Cowboys are 3-13-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Taking Fresno as a favorite is no bargain though. The Bulldogs are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite. They are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games on grass and they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Mountain West Conference.
Looking at the total we see that the Under is 13-6 in the Cowboys last 19 non-conference games but the Over is 5-1 in the Bulldogs last 6 non-conference games. The Over is 6-2 in the Bulldogs last 8 bowl games.